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Coup In Niger: We Support ECOWAS’ Moves, But Not War – NIPSS Graduates

Graduates of the Senior Executive Course of the National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies (NIPSS) Kuru, under the auspices of the
Alumni Association of the National Institute of Nigeria (AANI), has expressed support for the punitive measures taken so far by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) against the new military dispensation in Niger Republic after a military coup d’etat, but cautioned against armed invasion of the country.
A statement today, August 6, by its National Publicity Secretary, retired Brigadier General Sani Kukasheka Usman, said that the Association strongly condemned the military seizure of power in the Niger Republic even as it supported the efforts of ECOWAS’ efforts towards restoring democracy in the country.
“However, in restoring democracy, ECOWAS should consider the immediate and long-term implications of its actions on the people of the Niger Republic and the wider West African sub-region.”
AANI said that addressing the root causes of the political crisis in the Niger Republic and strengthening the democratic institutions in the country is vital to achieving lasting peace and stability in the region.
“AANI, therefore, urges caution against immediate military action. Instead, non-military options like diplomatic pressure and economic sanctions should be adopted towards a peaceful resolution and a quicker return to democratic governance in the Niger Republic.
“Military action by ECOWAS may escalate the current situation into a humanitarian crisis and worsen the security challenges in the West African sub-region. It may also escalate tensions in the fragile security situation in the Lake Chad region and other parts of West Africa, attracting other armed groups and external actors to take advantage of it. This would exacerbate the security challenges and create a more complex and dangerous situation. “It is, therefore, essential to prioritise peaceful and diplomatic solutions to the political crisis.
“ECOWAS should upscale diplomatic efforts to persuade the military leaders in Niger to relinquish power and allow the democratically elected government to reclaim the people’s mandate.
“By avoiding military intervention, ECOWAS would have demonstrated commitment to peaceful conflict resolution and regional stability.
“AANI believes that finding durable solutions to the prevailing political crisis in Niger Republic lies in prioritising the well-being of the civilian population and upholding the principles of democracy, human rights, and regional cooperation within ECOWAS.
“Its only through peaceful means that ECOWAS can ensure a sustainable and prosperous future for the people of Niger Republic and the broader West African community.”

Move By President Tinubu To Probe Emefiele’s Leadership Of CBN Commendable, By Salisu Jaji

We strongly commend the latest move by president Tinubu appointment of Jim Osayande Obazee, the Chief Executive Officer, Financial Reporting Council of Nigeria (FRCN) as Special Investigator to probe the CBN and its related entities under Emefiele leadership.

The recent happenings resulting from the move made by the Department of State Services (DSS) to rearrest and continue to interrogate the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, is a commendable job. It is known that the DSS are accusing the CBN governor of economic and financial crimes of national security dimension and have even filed an ex-parte motion at the high court in Abuja for his arrest over these accusations.
However, while the sitting judge declined the ex-parte motion filed, he mentioned that if the DSS believes that the evidence available to it so far is sufficient, then it has the jurisdiction to arrest and detain the applicant, even without the order of the court. So, in all fairness to DSS their operation is within the ambit of rule of law.
Though this may not stop some disgruntle elements from outside the government and as well as influential politicians who are very close to the embattled former CBN governor, and who have benefitted hugely from Godwin Emefiele scams against Nigerian people at CBN through receiving all sort of contracts and financial favours are fighting back on his behalf. It was found that the above the described elements are using their influence inside the administration of president Tinubu as well as using proxies (by sponsoring protest by selfish civil society groups and attacks from media outlets) to fight the DSS particularly with the aim to smear the name and efforts of its Director-General, Yusuf Bichi, and some of the service’s key officials of the DSS. These selfish politicians have shown to have no regards to the rule of law, nor do they care about the general security of the country.
It is important that Nigerians ask the following important questions – What is Emefiele doing with that catchment of ammunitions discovered at his home? Why are powerful people who are known to be selfish and corrupt supporting Emefiele and shielding him away from facing justice? If Emefiele believe he is not guilty and he can prove that over the course of the investigation that will be huge win for his image in this country. And we all know that he will never go down unjustifiably, he can afford the best lawyers in this country, also his cohorts and friends will ensure that he get justice. But it is clear to Nigerians that the CBN governor and cohorts are trying hard to scuttle the investigation, for them it is not a matter of justice or proving innocence but a matter of LEAVE HIM ALONE irrespective of what he has done wrong. It is important for Bola Tinibu led administration to know that if this case is allowed to be swept under the carpet. it has the tendency of creating sense of impunity and demoralize the agile operatives of DSS and other security agencies jointly fought to unearth the criminality of Emefiele.
It is also very important for citizens of our country to understand that we cannot afford to allow people in power to act and behave recklessly, mismanage our resources, abuse their office, and still get away with it, just because they are being shielded by the power surrounding them. We cannot have a country were only the poor and powerless are subjected to the rule of law whereas those in power and their cohorts are not. And worst of all is when these enemies of progress use the illiteracy and hunger of some of our citizens to deceive them into fighting their selfish war against the very people that protect the interest of this country. Every Nigerian should be grateful to the DSS and its Director General, Mr Bichi due to their efforts in taming the monstrous insecurity facing this nation. Since the coming in of Mr Bichi, the DSS has been nothing but excellent playing its role diligently, gathering security intelligence and fighting so much security threats a lot of which most the public are not even aware of. We all know that DSS is saddled with critical functions of prevention and detection of any crime/terrorism against the internal security of Nigeria and provision of timely advice to Government on all matters of National security interest among other. So why will their investigation on the CBN governor be an exception just because of the interest of selfish elements. Nigerians need to understand that if the accusations against Emefiele are true and the DSS are prevented from carrying out their constitutional duty on the matter, the cost of this will be enormous capable bringing this country on its knees, emboldening terrorist sponsors and worse demoralising our security agencies and personnel.
Nigerians should not allow politicians and selfish elements to turn us against the very institution that protect our security interest and enemies of this countries. While it is expected that when corrupt elements and officials are investigated by security agencies, they will fight back, however its duty Nigerian citizens to stand in solidarity with the DSS in protecting and imposing sanity in the public institutions. It is understood that these selfish backers of the Mr Emefiele are using every influence at their disposal reaching out to sellout media to smear the name of DSS Director and its officials. Thus, it is imperative that Nigerians stand in solidarity and talk with one voice to support the DSS and its official, and urging the presidency to do all what it takes to support DSS on such critical security investigations.
We strongly commend the latest move by president Tinubu appointment of Jim Osayande Obazee, the Chief Executive Officer, Financial Reporting Council of Nigeria (FRCN) as Special Investigator to probe the CBN and its related entities under Emefiele leadership. We hope similar action will be extended in the case of former EFCC boss, Abdulrasheed Bawa to reap what he sows.
Ambassador Salisu Jaji wrote in from Abuja

Withdrawal Of My Nomination As Minister, Dawn Of New Era, By Maryam Shetty 

I have  found myself at the centre of a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s political landscape. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, in a move that brought me immense honour, chose me as a ministerial nominee. Coming from the traditional, conservative regions of northern Nigeria, this represented a significant stride towards a more inclusive national representation.
The sheer joy and pride I felt at my nomination were beyond words. It was a validation of my capabilities, a nod to my vision, and a sign that our great nation was ready to embrace a future where young women like me, even from the most traditional parts of Nigeria, can hold positions of influence and power.
Yet, life, with its characteristic unpredictability, led to the withdrawal of my nomination. To some, this could seem like a setback, but my faith as a devout Muslim guided my understanding. I saw it as the divine will of Allah, who I believe grants power as He wishes, when He wishes. His plans are always superior to ours.
Even with this unexpected twist, my gratitude to President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu for considering me for such an esteemed position remains undiminished. The journey doesn’t end here; I believe this is a mere stepping stone, the best is yet to come. My resolve to serve my beloved country, Nigeria, in any capacity I can, is stronger than ever.
I would like to assure my incredible supporters that this is not an end, it is the dawn of a new era I urge all of us to continue praying for our nation and to stand behind our president as he strives to better Nigeria. Together, let’s press ahead united under our #WEBELIEVE campaign.
It would be unfair of me here if I fail to acknowledge and appreciate the overwhelming support from international organizations and community, a lot have reached out and I am completely dazed by it all.
My nomination may have been withdrawn, but my hope is unwavering. As I have often stated, “Hope is not lost; maybe I will come back again.” This phase of my life has instilled in me a deeper sense of resilience, faith, and the value of service beyond titles and positions. It has reaffirmed my belief in the potential for change and in the inherent greatness of Nigeria. The dream is still alive, and my commitment to our nation remains steadfast.
As we move forward, I pray for the good health and strength to our President Baba Bola Ahmed Tinubu and his Vice President, Sen. Kashim Shettima.
May Allah continue to bless our great nation, The Federal Republic of Nigeria! #webelieve!
NB: I would like my supporters to know that this is my only verified source of interaction on social media and should be wary of cloned accounts bearing my name. Thank you and God Bless.
Signed: Dr. Maryam Shetty

Coup In Niger: Tinubu, ECOWAS May Have Backpedaled On Military Option, Opt For Dialogue

Following the coup that toppled President Mohamed Bazoum of Niger Republic,
Leaders of the Economic of West African Countries (ECOWAS) and the region’s Defence Chiefs in separate were said to have, in meetings, made far-reaching decisions aimed at resolving the political stalemate in the country.
Reports said that contrary to report of a looming military intervention in Niger, there is no plan for any immediate deployment of troops for that action for now.
A top intelligence source hinted that the resolutions of the two bodies of ECOWAS emphasised dialogue, economic and security sanctions as necessary steps to be explored at resolving the crisis before any other action could be contemplated.
“President Bola Tinubu doesn’t express his personal opinion but the resolutions of ECOWAS Leaders which he chaired as the current rotational Chairman.
“The resolutions include further engagements to resolve the political logjam,” the intelligence who claimed anonymity added.
While President Tinubu Chairs ECOWAS, Nigeria’s Chief of Defence Staff (CDS), General Chris Musa, is the chairman of the region’s Defence Chiefs.
In a letter sent to the Senate and read by the Senate President, Godswill Akpabio, at the plenary, President Tinubu explained that the resolutions of the ECOWAS were considered after a meeting with African leaders.
In attendance at the ECOWAS Extraordinary Session held in Abuja over Niger crisis were Presidents Umaro Sissoco Embalo of Guinea-Bissau, Alassane Ouattara of Cote D’Ivoire, Faure Gnassingbe of Togo, Macky Sall of Senegal, Patrice Talon of Benin, and Nana Akufo-Addo of Ghana, while
Cape Verde and Liberia were represented by their Foreign Affairs Ministers, Luís Tavares and Dee-Maxwell Kemayah Sr, respectively
The letter read: “Following the unfortunate political situation in Niger Republic culminating in the overthrow of its President, ECOWAS under my leadership condemned the coup in its entirety and resolved to seek the return of the democratically elected government in a bid to restore peace, ECOWAS convened a meeting and came out with a communique.
“Closure and monitoring of all land borders with the Niger Republic and reactivating of the border drilling exercise.
“Cutting off Electricity supply to the Niger Republic
“Mobilising international support for the implementation of the provisions of the ECOWAS communique.
“Preventing the operation of commercial and special flights into and from Niger Republic.
“Blockade of goods in transit to Niger especially from Lagos and eastern seaports.
“Embarking on sensitisation of Nigerians and Nigerians on the imperative of these actions, particularly via social media.
“Military build-up and deployment of personnel for military intervention to enforce compliance of the military junta in Niger should they remain recalcitrant.”
Similarly, ECOWAS Defence Chiefs resolved to place dialogue at the forefront of the regional body’s approach to resolving the crisis in the Niger Republic.
While reading the communique from their meeting, General Chris Musa said the region’s Defence Chiefs acknowledged the need for a comprehensive approach that encompasses political, security, and diplomatic dimensions.
It was noted that at least, military chiefs from 12 countries in ECOWAS attended the meeting at Defence Headquarters in Abuja. They were from Nigeria, Benin, Ghana, Togo, Sierra Leone, Liberia, The Gambia, Côte D’Ivoire, Cape Verde, Senegal, and Guinea Bissau.
Musa said that the committee recognized the gravity of the situation and the urgent need for a well-coordinated response.
“We have acknowledged the need for a comprehensive approach that encompasses political, security, and diplomatic dimensions. It is imperative that we translate our deliberations into concrete actions that can effectively address the crisis and prevent a recurrence in the future.
“Firstly, we must emphasize the importance of upholding democratic principles and the rule of law. The coup in the Niger Republic represents a blatant disregard for these fundamental principles that underpin our regional integration and stability. We must unequivocally condemn such actions and demonstrate our unwavering commitment to democracy.
“Secondly, we must strengthen our regional security architecture and enhance our collective response to security challenges. The coup in the Niger Republic has highlighted the fragility of our region and the need for a robust and proactive security framework. We must enhance intelligence sharing, joint training exercises, and capacity-building initiatives among our defense and security forces to effectively combat threats to our collective security and enhance interoperability.
“Thirdly, we must intensify our diplomatic efforts to engage with all relevant stakeholders. Dialogue and negotiation should be at the forefront of our approach to resolving the crisis in the Republic of Niger. We must engage with the transitional authorities, civil society organisations, and other key actors to foster an inclusive and peaceful transition process.”
Musa urged other Defence Chiefs to ensure that their expertise and resources are channelled to tackle insecurity in the region.
“We must leverage our collective expertise and resources to address emerging security challenges promptly.
“Let us remember that the success of this meeting will not be measured by the words spoken here today, but by the actions we take tomorrow and, in the days to come. Let us seize this opportunity to make a lasting impact and ensure that the Niger Republic and the entire ECOWAS region can progress on the path of democracy, peace, and stability.
“We must allocate the necessary resources, engage relevant stakeholders, and monitor progress to ensure that our decisions have a tangible impact on the ground.”
Also speaking, the Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security, ECOWAS, Ambassador Abdel-Fatau Musah, said that the authority of the Heads of State of ECOWAS was committed to eradicating all forms of unconstitutional takeover of power in the sub-region.
Musah said that the threat of military takeover in West Africa had become pronounced in recent times, saying that efforts must be made to address the situation if the region must not become the laughing stock of Africa and the world.
He said that the meeting of the defence chiefs was guided by the Protocol relating to the mechanism for conflict prevention, management, resolution, peacekeeping, and security, which was adopted in 1999 and signed up by all Member States in 2001.
“Respected chiefs of defense staff of our region, this is a clarion call to you. This is a test of the will of our militaries to demonstrate that we are having a democratically minded military whose responsibility is the protection of the state.
“So diplomacy is being given a chance to succeed and like we said, the military option is the very last on the table. And if we can avoid that, a peaceful resolution is our preferred option but we have to prepare for all eventualities,” he added.
Source: PRNigeria

Nigerian Senators Turn Down Tinubu’s Request For Troops Deployment To Niger

Senators have turned down the request by President Bola Tinubu for permission to deploy Nigerian troops to Niger Republic as part of an ECOWAS force to reinstate the democratically elected president of the country.
At an executive session today, August 5, the senators rejected the request but condemned the coup and commended ECOWAS leaders on their efforts to restore constitutional order in Niger.
They ruled out military options, the Senators.
“Almost all the senators spoke and totally ruled out the military options because of many factors and also because of the harmonious relationship that Nigeria and Niger has always enjoyed.
“Senators instead urged President Tinubu to intensify negotiation with the coup leaders by again sending a high-powered delegation to Niamey. Someone suggested that elderstatemen like Obasanjo, Gen Ali Gusau and Abdulsalam Abubakar should be sent as special envoys to dialogue and seek a diplomatic solution.
“Senators opposed to military action pointed out that our military is highly ill-equipped and not prepared to fight any war.They said that we have fragile peace in Nigeria and that Niger is the highest arms market in Africa.
“Senators believe that the Federal Government should focus on solving the Boko Haram, banditry and ESN/IPOB menaces ravaging the country instead of contemplating going to war in a foreign country. ”
Over 90 per cent of senators who spoke are vehement against sending troops/military action,”
The senators said that Senate President, Goodswill Akpabio appealed to the lawmakers to endorse the steps President Tinubu had taken so far, but they vehemently rejected the appeal.
Senators said that they will pass a resolution condemning the coup, but on the issue of going to war with Niger, it is a no go area.”
The Senate has now returned to plenary where they are expected to pass a resolution on the issue.
President Mohamed Bazoum was deposed on 26 July in a coup, led by his presidential guards.
ECOWAS leaders, at a meeting in Abuja four days later, gave the coup leaders a seven-day ultimatum to restore constitutional order or face the possible use of force.
The regional body imposed sanctions on the coup leaders with Nigeria also cutting electricity supplies and closing its borders with the poor West African nation.
Following the failure of the coup leaders to backtrack, West African defence chiefs said they had drawn a plan for military action as part of which President Tinubu wrote the Senate for permission to involve Nigerian troops in the action.

Kogi: Okuns Take Their Marginalisation Protest To Tinubu In Abuja

James Faleke

One of the three major tribes in Kogi State, the Okuns in Kogi West Senatorial District recently stormed Aso Rock with complain of Marginalisation in the state.
The Leaders of the group highlighted that their appeal for power shift to the Kogi West Senatorial District is a reflection of the region’s historical support for other districts in the past.
The Leaders, Elder Leke Abejide, who is the candidate of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) for the November 11 governorship election in the state and Professor Micheal Ikupolati, leading the Okuns Development Association, appealed to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to Intervene in their case.
The People expressed their unwavering support for the Tinubu administration and requested the President’s backing for Kogi West Senatorial District to have an opportunity to produce the next Governor of the state.
They emphasized that this would be the first time the district will have a chance to produce the governor in 27 years since the state’s creation in 1991.
They appealed to the President to direct security agencies to ensure a fair and peaceful election process during the November 11 election.
The group further requested the enforcement of the use of Biometric Voter Authentication System (BVAS) in the said election.
Responding, President Tinubu advised the people to maintain peace and unity ahead of the gubernatorial elections in the State.
The President assured them of his commitment to look into their concerns regarding marginalization and the need for fair representation in governance of their state.
Special Adviser to the President on Media and Publicity, Ajuri Ngelale detailed what transpired between the President and the Okuns in a statement.
The President told the delegation that democracy “is about horse trading, numbers, about conflicts and conflict resolution.
“I appreciate your leadership and your position. One of your sons, James Faleke, has worked very closely with me and I know about the issue when late Prince Audu was alive.
‘‘But that was the way of God Almighty. He passed on and the arrangement didn’t work and there was a judgement from the Supreme Court that was the last bus stop. That brought about the present government in the State, who is also a member of our party.’’
On the issue of power rotation and constitutional provisions to guarantee equal rights for all Senatorial Districts, the President said that he would thoroughly examine the matter of fair representation they brought to his attention.
He recalled the agreement on power rotation made by late Prince Abubakar Audu and other leaders but acknowledged that unforeseen events can impact such arrangements.
‘When you talk about domination, I will have to dig deeper on the issues. “Yes, the question of rotation was agreed by Prince Audu and some other leaders but death didn’t allow him. God Almighty knows the reasons and we cannot question him.’’
President Tinubu assured the group that having listened carefully to all their concerns on issues surrounding the elections in November, ‘‘he would look into the issues very carefully to ensure fairness, justice and equity but democracy is still a game of number.’’
He charged them to extend love to one another, be patient and show solidarity to other members of the Senatorial districts in the State.

Nigeria Officially Closes Land Borders With Niger Republic Over Coup 

Nigeria has officially announced the closure of all land borders linking Nigeria with Niger Republic due to the recent coup d’état in Niger.
The Acting Controller General of Customs, Bashir Adewale, who made this known today, August 4, during a visit to the Jibia border in Katsina, said that the decision for the total blockage of the borders was to comply with the Economic Community of West Africa States (ECOWAS) directive to suspend the movement of cargos until further notice.
He said that as part of measures to ensure 100 per cent compliance, they will sensitise the border communities.
The Acting Controller General said that the decision was taken for the interest of peace and stability between the two countries.
Adewale said that he had visited the deputy governor of Katsina state regarding the issue of sensitisation.
On July 27, in a swift response to a military coup in Niger Republic, the ECOWAS had enforced a no-flight zone over the country.
Some of the sanctions from ECOWAS are the suspension of trade, diplomacy, and financial services to the country; a no-fly zone has also been declared over Niger and its military hierarchy.
The decision was announced by the ECOWAS, at an special meeting following the increasing tension stirred by the military actors who were attempting to take over in Niger.
This move, which includes air and land border closure, is seen as a reaction to the recent ascendancy of the junta, which poses a threat to political stability in the region.

Man Bags 2 Year Jail In Delta For Fraudulently Receiving Double Salary Of N14.5 Million

A staff of the Delta State House of Assembly, John Adjeke Akpoghene, has been sentenced to two years imprisonment for fraudulently receiving double salary of over N14.5 million.
Akpoghene was charged by the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) before the Delta State High Court, Asaba.
ICPC had, in a one-count charge before Justice Onome Marshal-Umukoro of the Delta State High Court Asaba, accused the convict of receiving double salary from the Delta State House of Assembly and Ughelli South Local Government Area.
Counsel to ICPC, Mrs. S. Chibuzor, had told the court that the convict fraudulently received the total sum of N14,525,550 as double salary, over a period of four years from the State Assembly and the local government council.
The counsel said that the accused committed the offence while working as a state civil servant and a supervisory councillor with Ughelli South Local Government Area simultaneously.
Akpoghene had argued that he was unaware that it was a crime to have two government jobs and receive salaries from both at the same time.
In his ruling, Justice Marshall-Umokoro, sentenced him to two years imprisonment.
He was however, given an option of fine of N500,000
The judge further ruled that the convict should continue to make the necessary monthly refunds to the House of Assembly Service Commission.

Military Action Against Niger: The Price For Nigeria, By Joseph Daudu

I don’t believe that Tinubu does not know the implications of his warmongering stance against Niger Republic.
If he does not know, at least the Realists in his team must have worked out the implications by now. It has grave religious and ethnic downside.
There is a school of thought encouraging him to go on this warmongering stance.
These people including the Oduduwa Republic adherents, the Biafrans, Asari Dokubo and the Ijaw nation, the Bokists, and many other inchoate splinter groups who would move ‘ to their tents’ and declare their own nations when the Tinubu cataclysm erupts.
No nation goes to war on behalf of Neocolonialists and other parasitic world powers to enforce democracy. What happened to the principle of ‘Non interference in the internal affairs of other nations’ which the Western nations studiously adhere to.
Why is Mr President crying louder than the bereaved?
The other tactics to secure votes and win an election not the same or even worse than a coup d etat?
I think the usual platitudes should just have been mouthed by our President and then leave the people of Niger to sort themselves out.
He has stopped electricity flow to Niger.
Does he know that we supply electric power to Niger Republic in exchange for their not constructing a Dam on their own end of the River Niger, which would have completely ruined the lives of millions of Nigerians and which will put the Kainji, Jebba and Shiroro dams out of business?
The electricity we supply is a small price we pay for the Nigerienes not to dam the said River.
He should have consulted with General Gowon who would have explained the depth of Nigeria’s relationship with Niger starting with the reign of President Hamani Diori.
Finally, the arms dealers like vultures are locked in on this threat of war. The biggest arms dealers are the same countries encouraging ECOWAS to go to war on behalf of democracy that they do not practice. They are yearning for a large scale war in Africa, which will depopulate us and hand the region over to them FOC without the rigours of colonisation.
The President should not start what he cannot finish.

Daudu is a Senior Advocate of Nigeria.

Why ECOWAS Military Action To Sack Niger’s Coup Leaders Is Necessary, By Godwin James

An urgent military action by the Economic Community of West Afrocan States (ECOWAS) to push out the junta in Niger is a necessity for several reasons.
I will try to present the reasons as follows:
1. The Nigerien coup is not due to any particular political conditions, but to the personal interests of soldiers who had not anticipated anything, and want to serve themselves rather than serve the people.
Why?
Because:
– The junta lied about the security situation in Niger, which, in actual fact, has improved in recent months. The Chief of Defence Staff (CDS) of Niger had recognized this fact in his wishes’ greetings in January 2023. This situation is weakening the army of Niger.- The political and security situation in Niger has improved significantly over the past two years thanks to the good governance of Mohamed Bazoum’s government and the coordinated action of the Nigerien and foreign forces, and always under command of Niger.
2. Why Tchiani wants power:
– The coup was led by General Tchiani, head of the Presidential Guard. Whereas he was to be suspended from his post for incompetence, he managed to mobilize members of the Republican Guard to negotiate with the president a severance grant. General Tchiani has gone too far and found himself in a situation where he was either to grab power or he was going to end up in jail. So he chose to mobilize other embittered, disappointed soldiers in their ranking to join him in his attempt to take power.
– Not wanting a confrontation between inhabitants of Niger, the CDS of Niger didn’t choose to frustrate the those responsible for this coup using force and then rally them. The perpetrators of the coup have started by arguing about who would take power, General Tchiani seems to have taken over and began to rewrite a history related to “national interests” to legitimize himself. Former pro-Bazoum civil servants and soldiers are now being hunted (many arrests), which shows moreover that promises of appeasement of the members of the junta are lies.
3. Another major reason for an ECOWAS action is that:
This coup will have economic and security consequences for the entire sub-region region.
– The coup brings an inexperienced, even pyromaniac, team to a key Sahel state. The Niger Republic will isolate itself regionally and internationally, which will have consequences on economy and movement of people.
Ignoring Russia…
Despite its reassuring rhetoric, Russia is reproducing its policy of pressuring the new junta as it did in Burkina Faso by mobilizing rioters with Russian flags. Russia seeks to combine defence of the junta with its own interests. Russia, which is not capable of moving forward a hundred meters into Ukraine, does not have the military or financial capacities to support Niger at the same level as Western forces.
Likely Consequences of the coup
The most likely outcome is a security collapse in Niger on the same level as in Mali, which has lost control of three-quarters of its territory.
The most likely outcome is the emergence of a continuous insecure zone from Mauritania to Algeria border unto Boko Haram evolution zones. For this reason, Algeria has also condemned the coup.
4. The necessary ECOWAS’ answer
ECOWAS is legitimate, as it represents Benin, Ivory Coast, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea Bissau, Nigeria, Senegal, Togo, Cape Verde, Liberia, Sierra Leone, and the Niger legitimate government.
The accusations against ECOWAS of being controlled by France are racist and conspiracy: they imply that all authorities in all these countries are controlled by Paris.
Because of the risk of serious economic and security destabilization posed by this coup over an important part of West Africa, an ECOWAS military intervention to restore order in Niger is necessary.
The junta has the support of only a small part of the population and an upside down of the situation, meaning a support to the Nigerien people, will be fast thanks to an action by ECOWAS, including military action.
James is an African affairs analyst

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